twoeleven: Hans Zarkov from Flash Gordon (Default)
[personal profile] twoeleven
an article in the LA times says, WRT the possibility of more tornadoes in the midwest:
“Rapid intensification is expected given the favorable thermodynamics along with shear profiles very supportive of updraft rotation,” the service noted on one of its forecasts [sic] for the areas including parts of about a dozen states.
does that bit of jargon actually inform you, or is it just fancy looking verbiage, that could easy be replaced by references to dilithium crystals or neutron flows? (there are, i think, four people on my friendslist™ that i would expect to understand what it means and why.)



the link in the article is to the current forecast, it won't be useful for very long. the hunk of the forecast its taken from is:
...MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY REGION EWD TO THE APPALACHIANS...
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING/INCREASING AT THE START OF
THE PERIOD ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MS/TN/OH VALLEY REGION...NEAR AND
N OF A RETREATING SURFACE WARM FRONT DEMARCATING THE NRN EDGE OF A
WARM/MOIST AIRMASS SPREADING NWD AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE
LOW.

WHILE THE ELEVATED CONVECTION -- AND ASSOCIATED HAIL POTENTIAL WITH
THE STRONGER/ROTATING CELLS -- WILL SPREAD NEWD WITH TIME AS THE
WARM FRONT RETREATS...CONTINUED NEWD ADVECTION OF STEEPER LAPSE
RATES ALOFT OVERSPREADING THE NWD ADVANCE OF WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER AIR WILL PROVIDE A THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR VIGOROUS STORM DEVELOPMENT.

AS DAYTIME HEATING COMMENCES S OF THE ONGOING/ELEVATED
STORMS...MIXED-LAYER CAPE INCREASING INTO THE 1000 TO 2000 J/KG
RANGE COMBINED WITH THE ADVANCING FRONT AND ASSOCIATED MID- AND
UPPER-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL LEAD TO CONVECTIVE INITIATION
NEAR/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STORM
DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE FOCUSED ON A ZONE FROM THE MID OH VALLEY SWWD
ACROSS KY AND TN INTO PARTS OF MS AND NRN AL...WHERE RAPID
INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED GIVEN THE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS ALONG
WITH SHEAR PROFILES VERY SUPPORTIVE OF UPDRAFT ROTATION.

WITH STORM MODE LIKELY TO BECOME A MIX OF SUPERCELLS AND COMPLEX
LINE SEGMENTS...THREATS FOR BOTH DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERAL
TORNADOES APPEARS EVIDENT...ACCOMPANYING THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LARGE
HAIL. A COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE -- MAINLY
DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS IN AND NEAR THE MODERATE RISK
AREA.

OVERNIGHT...SLOW/WEAK STABILIZATION OF THE AIRMASS SHOULD LEAD TO A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN HIGHER-END SEVERE POTENTIAL...THOUGH SEVERE
STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE -- SHIFTING EWD TOWARD...AND POSSIBLY
ACROSS...THE APPALACHIANS REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

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twoeleven: Hans Zarkov from Flash Gordon (Default)
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